August 17th, 2007 OTWG Meeting Wrap-Up
Attendants:
New Member: Introduction of
Defining the Scope: We are still using the year 2030, but we are also going to look longer term to the year 2050 to encompass even more changes in infrastructure and technology.
Futuring Exercise: Started by brainstorming important and uncertain aspects of transportation in the year 2030 and beyond:
• Carbon Regime
- possible effects of global warming on transportation
• Resource Supply/Availability (geoeconomic factors)
- cost, peak oil (and other non-renewable resources)
• Cost and practicality of developing new technology
• Population demographics
- attitudes, also geographic distribution
• Transportation on the state level
- tax structure
• Infrastructure capacity maintenance/improvements
- changes in financial markets
• Technological Advancements
- vehicle designs, etc.
Next, we chose the main points from the brainstorm and ranked them on their levels of importance and uncertainty across an X & Y axis. The 4 factors we chose as most important/uncertain were:
• Carbon Regime
• Resource Availabilty
• Population Demographics (attitudes, acceptance of change)
• Technological Advancements
The next meeting will be held on Friday September 28th at 11:00 am at the Center for Automotive Research. Looking forward to seeing you all there!
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